Janet's Conner

This Blog tell the Truth and will never not tell the Truth. Impeach Bush

Friday, July 28, 2006

POLL OF 50 MOST COMPETITIVE HOUSE DISTRICTS GOOD NEWS FOR DEMOCRATS




The problem with a successful marketing campaign is that eventually people are going to buy the product and if it doesn't meet expectations, word of mouth will overpower the sales pitch.

According to a very innovative poll commissioned by National Public Radio (NPR) and conducted by Democrat Stan Greenberg and Republican Glenn Bolger, it appears the same can be said for political campaigns.

For decades now, Republicans have been incredibly successful at marketing and selling their political ideas or products. NPR's Poll, however, has found that among the voters who matter most in 2006 the GOP's actual product hasn't met expectations.

Greenberg and Bolger polled only the 50 most competitive Congressional districts---the races that both party's candidate could conceivably win---and where contol of the House will be decided. Of the 50 districts polled, 40 are Republican seats and 10 are Democratic. The results are nothing short of stunning and, too, a dark omen indeed, for the GOP.

Typically, a Republican voter, Peggy Beekler of Kentucky's Third District best highlights the Republican Party's biggest problem:

"I think to do an amendment on burning the flag would be totally ridiculous---I also think when Bush vetoed the stem cell research...I feel like that's ridiculous because they're just going to destroy all those embryos anyway, so even though I am pro-life, I think that shouldn't have been vetoed. I think that was a really bad thing."

Beekler seems to express the underlying mood of 2006 voters. When Greenberg and Bolger asked people who they preferred in a generic match up, i.e., a nameless. faceless Republican or Democrat, and then asked the question again citing the specific incumbent and challenger in the race, "the numbers didn't change much and the voters seemed pretty firm about their choices."

That finding alone of course, doesn't say too much about what is happening until it is revealed that since 2004, in these districts, there has been an 18 point swing in favor of the Democratic candidate.

In 2004, among these same districts, Republicans won by an average of 12 points. Today, however, Democrats hold a very strong 6 point lead over Republicans. When coupled with every known national poll that asks, generically, who people prefer and Democrats consistently come out ahead, and the finding by Greenberg and Bolger that the differences between the generic and named candidates changes the dynamics very little it becomes very obvious, very quickly that the GOP is in deep trouble in 2006.

Most incredible of all, is what Greenberg and Bolger discovered and that Beekler articulated so eloquently, the Democrats sored their largest polling margin on the "values issues." THAT IS CORRECT! On the very "valus Issues" Republicans have chosen to highlight in the House, i.e., flag-burning, stem-cell research, and yes, gay marriage---Democrats were favored 51 percent to 37 percent over Republicans.

Surely, no person could have expected Democrats to have such a commanding lead on the so-called values issues. This finding led Greenberg to surmise: "What this say: By 13 points, voters say they are more likely to vote Democratic because of hearing about these issues. Which suggests that the strategy of using the Congress to get out the base is one that's driving away a lot of voters."

ACTUALLY, A MORE MEANINGFUL CONCLUSION WOULD BE THAT THOUGH FOR MORE THAN 30 YEARS, REPUBLICANS HAVE BEEN HIGHLY SUCCESSFUL AT SELLING THEMSELVES AS THE "VALUES ISSUES" PARTY, ONCE THE PEOPLE BOUGHT THE GOP PRODUCT THEY REALIZED IT JUST WASN'T VERY GOOD.


***I wonder how Bush feels now! It took him to come into power to take down the whole Republican Party! People know that his religious beliefs are all phony. He only talked like he had values to win the presidency. Let's face it, look at how he lived his life up until the time he wanted to become president! It was like that ever since his grandfather was into politics! Playing dirty is fine in love and war, but when it comes down to ruining the lives of innocent people because you think they "just might know something about your family," then that is just plAin old wrong. What kind of values is that for a so-called, even, self-proclaimed Christian! Not everybody is going to put up with the crap that these Republicans have shoved out. IT'S GOT TO END SOMEWHERE!

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